MACD lines crossover — a trend is changing
MACD historam staying above zero line — market is bullish, below — bearish.
MACD histogram flipping over zero line — confirmation of a strength of a current trend.
MACD histogram diverges from price on the chart — signal of an upcoming reversal.
MACD
MACD is the simplest and very reliable indicators used by many Forex traders.
MACD (Moving Average Convergence/Divergence) has in its base Moving Averages.
It calculates and displays the difference between the two moving averages at any time. As the market moves, moving averages move with it, widening (diverging) when the market is trending and moving closer (converging) when the market is slowing down and possibility of a trend change arise.
Basics behind MACD indicator
Standard indicator settings for MACD (12, 26, 9) are used in many
trading systems, and these are the setting that MACD developer Gerald
Appel has found to be the most suitable for both faster and slower
moving markets. In order to get a more responsive and faster performance from MACD one
can can experiment with lowering MACD settings to, for example, MACD
(6, 12, 5), MACD (7, 10, 5), MACD (5, 13, 8) etc.
These custom MACD settings will make indicator signal faster, however, the rate of false signals is going to increase.
MACD indicator
is based on Moving Averages in their simplest form. MACD measures the
difference between faster and slower moving average: 12 EMA and 26 EMA
(standard).
MACD line is created when longer Moving Average is subtracted from
shorter Moving Average. As a result a momentum oscillator is created
that oscillates above and below zero and has no lower or upper limits.
MACD also has a Trigger line. Combined in a simple lines crossover strategy, MACD line and trigger line crossover outperforms EMAs crossover.
Besides being early on crossovers MACD also is able to display where the
chart EMAs have crossed: when MACD (12, 26, 9) flips over its zero
line, if indicates that 12 EMA and 26 EMA on the chart have crossed.
How does MACD indicator work
If to take 26 EMA and imagine that it is a flat line, then the distance between this line and 12 EMA would represent the distance from MACD line to indicator's zero line.
The further MACD line goes from zero line, the wider is the gap between 12EMA and 26 EMA on the chart. The closer MACD moves to zero line, the closer are 12 and 26 EMA.
MACD histogram measures the distance between MACD line and MACD trigger line.MACD indicator Formula
MACD = EMA(Close)period1 - EMA(Close)period2
Signal Line = EMA(MACD)period3
where
period1 = standard settings are 12 bars
period2 = standard 26 bars
perid3 = standard 9 bars
The following are the steps to calculate MACD
1. Calculate the 12-days EMA of closing price
2. Calculate the 26-days EMA of closing price
3. MACD = 12-days EMA - 26-days EMA
4. Signal Line = 9-days EMA of MACD
Formula for EMA
EMA = (SC X (CP - PE)) + PE
SC = Smoothing Constant (Number of days)
CP = Current Price
PE = Previous EMA
Trading MACD Divergence
MACD indicator is famous for its MACD Divergence trading method.
Divergence is found by comparing price shifts on the chart and MACD values.
MACD Divergence phenomenon occur as a result of shifting forces on the Forex market.
For example, while Sellers may seem to be dominating the market at the
moment and price continues to trend down, there already might be signals
for an overall weakening of Sellers power. This key warning moments
can be observed with MACD indicator. What Forex traders would see is that
despite price making new Lower Lows, MACD doesn't confirm that and
instead registers a Higher Low, signaling that Sellers are running out of steam and a trend change is on its way.
Opposite will be true for Buyers.
How to trade MACD Divergence
When MACD line (on our screenshot it is a blue line) crosses Signal line (red dotted line) - we have a point (top or bottom) to evaluate. With two most recent MACD line tops or bottoms find corresponding tops/bottoms on the price chart. Connect MACD tops/bottoms and chart tops/bottoms.
Evaluate the lines received, as shown on the larger screenshot (click on the small picture to enlarge).
With MACD divergence spotted Enter the market when MACD line crosses over its zero point.
Another entry strategy is to find 2 most recent swings high or low on the chart and draw a trend line trough them; and then set an Entry order on the breakout of that trend line.
MACD divergence trading method used not only to predict trend turning points, but also for trend confirmation. A current trend has high potentials to continue unchanged in case no divergence between MACD and price was established after most recent tops/bottoms evaluation.
FX5_MACD_Divergence_V1.1.mq4MACD divergence explained
MACD for MT4 collection
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